Inkling: Our Open-Weights Model

517 points
1/21/1970
5 hours ago
by vimarsh6739

Comments


segmondy

Very nice, multi modal, largest open weight model that supports audio. Would be interesting to see how good the audio capability is.

If you want to run locally, checkout https://github.com/danielhanchen/llama.cpp/tree/add-inkling https://unsloth.ai/docs/models/inkling https://huggingface.co/unsloth/inkling-GGUF https://huggingface.co/unsloth/inkling-NVFP4

This supposedly is better than KimiK2.7, as much hype as GLM5.2 gets, I find myself using KimiK2.7 half of the time, so if the benchmark is true, then this can definitely go in the mix. My hope is that it might have strengths in some areas to beat all other open weight models.

3 hours ago

paxys

Not to mention - it is American. This is the first competitive non-Chinese open weights model since what, Llama 3?

an hour ago

segmondy

It's not the better model since Llama3. Trinity Large is American and quite decent, unfortunately tons of crazy good models have been out and it's harder to run locally at 400B. I think Arcee did a terrible job of promoting their model.

https://www.arcee.ai/blog/trinity-large

25 minutes ago

whimsicalism

nemotron

28 minutes ago

dimgl

What harness do you use for Kimi?

an hour ago

ls_stats

America needs its own DeepSeek or Z.ai, a lot of people (myself included) root for open chinese models to win because they have no other choice.

Thinking Machines might be it.

4 hours ago

joshmarlow

I don't hear about them a lot but it looks like arcee.ai is aiming to be just that.

Here are some of their current open weight offerings: https://www.arcee.ai/open-source-catalog

3 hours ago

gkapur

It could be but there are a host of companies going after open weights models: Arcee, Reflection, Llama (TBD on Meta's focus on closed-source versus open-source), etc.

That said, the fine-tuning API + open weight model at least is a semblance of a viable business that could work so I will be curious about it. I'm not sure the synergy is fully there (why is someone with an open weights model privelaged to fine-tune it better if it's just QLora or Lora) but let's see!

4 hours ago

andriy_koval

> It could be but there are a host of companies going after open weights models: Arcee, Reflection, Llama (TBD on Meta's focus on closed-source versus open-source), etc.

my bet is that Chinese government fund Chinese models way more compared to what those companies receive (except llama, which is outdated but was strong foundation at its time)

4 hours ago

gkapur

The story of Reflection AI is supposedly that the company was faffing and failing at winning in the coding agent space, but was introduced to Jenson, who suggested they build an open-weight model and said he would fund it. That turned into a $2 billion financing with NVIDIA doing roughly $500 million and was a complete pivot.

I think the bet would have to be that a US Open Weight company either: 1. Gets a lot of money from Jenson who views them as a counterbalance to the big labs in his ecosystem and a way to generate leverage (the same way he is positioning neoclouds-- it also could be synergistic with neoclouds who could offer the model serving endpoints) 2. Can fast follow the same way Mistral does (which, honestly, seems like just distilling the Chinese model, which distills the US lab but is pretty innovative on a whole lot of architecture both in training and serving land.) 3. AND figure out some (maybe not super lucrative but lucrative enough) sort of business model, as well. There are lots of possible business models, so I will be curious how this whole space evolves.

3 hours ago

fmajid

Jensen Huang is just trying to commoditize the complements to his GPUs.

3 hours ago

andriy_koval

> That turned into a $2 billion financing with NVIDIA doing roughly $500 million and was a complete pivot.

I suspect 2B is not enough to boostrap frontier model from the scratch (for both talent and hardware)

3 hours ago

mannanj

I have a similar bet. Looks like people don't like this idea. You got downvoted a lot.

3 hours ago

YetAnotherNick

Do any of these even have match a year old Deepseek 3.1?

an hour ago

suprjami

DS3 isn't even looked at anymore.

GLM-5.2 is the best in that class right now. It is competitive with current GPT/Claude/Gemini.

37 minutes ago

UncleOxidant

Hopefully they'll release some smaller models (<100B) that we can run on home hardware at faster than 10tok/s.

3 hours ago

codemog

I’m trying to be charitable but your comment reads as “China bad” propaganda to me. Who cares that DeepSeek and Z.ai are Chinese companies?

28 minutes ago

nodja

It doesn't matter until it does. If the chinese government decides that open weight model releases are no longer allowed, that's a lot of companies that can't release new models. Same with the US government, etc. Having diversity is important.

25 minutes ago

jas-

It's a similar problem the human DNA solved by telling our teenage selves that our parents are dumb and we needed to move to a new tribe. Genetic diversity, but a digital equivalent.

18 minutes ago

MattDamonSpace

China’s got absolute control over its outputs. For America to have any guarantees around long-term availability of OW models, they need domestic production.

FWIW this is the same logic for China’s need for their own OW models

22 minutes ago

HaloZero

I think practically every government will want to put restrictions on private companies building models.

Frankly the EU and the US will practically be less involved and have more pushback from the public in this than China. I think that’s less “China bad” than recognizing that China is a more authoritarian state and has far more proclivity to interfere than western states.

Maybe I’m wrong? What does deep seek say about Tiananmen square in 1989?

13 minutes ago

bostonvaulter2

What is the business model for an open weight model?

3 hours ago

ergocoder

The same business model that Deepseek is using.

Open-source models + services. This is more attractive because it doesn't lock in the vendors. If I grow larger, I can decide to deploy the open-source models.

3 hours ago

andriy_koval

> The same business model that Deepseek is using.

there is a chance their business model is absorbing government funding..

2 hours ago

tyre

So they're constantly hemorrhaging their most valuable clients?

Tech history is littered with the corpses of "open source but we sell hosting" services. Models are so expensive to train, you can't be losing the big clients once they get super profitable.

2 hours ago

MikeTheGreat

This is genuine, noob question: how is this different from AWS?

I get that they're in very different businesses, but for both don't they have the issue that once a client gets big enough the client might decide to move the services in-house? Based on how much of the internet went down when that AWS data center crashed the answer is clearly "No" for AWS.

Is that because of physical, real-world infrastructure? Are there no open versions of their APIs? Is it too hard to migrate to something else once a client has achieved that size?

an hour ago

NortySpock

Data is heavy.

I would say "it's risky and requires a lot of labor to migrate without corruption, loss of data" and also minimizing downtime. Sure anyone can run pg_backup, but can you do it across 90 databases? Can you do it live? Can you coordinate rollout of the process, cutover, and monitor for failure? What's the cost of egress for this? Is the team your A-team or the B-team? Can you trust this to the B-team? Is it worth having this team spend all this time on a migration rather than, say, getting something new set up, or optimizing performance on an existing system?

I'm a database guy, but the same migration argument is presumably also extra work for (say) blob storage, networking, etc.

Since LLMs are stateless by their current implementation, switching to "the same open-weight model running in a different datacenter run by a different vendor" is "just" switching the API endpoint. (If they are the exact same shape, it's fine, if they differ somehow, there's perhaps some work to do there, fixing things and monitoring for failures on switch-over)

There are several open APIs it seems and OpenRouter.ai is doing a fine job making a commodity out of models and datacenters.

28 minutes ago

ergocoder

I don't think it's that difficult. Their servers are stateless too. S3 is easy to migrate.

Database is more difficult, but tons of people have done it successfully.... meanwhile people who host their own LLMs are relatively small in number in comparison.

Most companies don't do their own data centers mainly because it is more expensive and less reliable. It's something they can just pay for the problem to go away. The calculus for hosting your own LLM is probably similar.

Even Stripe who built their own coding agents and has tons of money/resources still decides not to host their own LLMs.

Still, many people will prefer open-weight models. It is similar to how we prefer linux but still use AWS/Render/and whatever. It doesn't lock us in, and we can move providers if we want to.

8 minutes ago

matsur

Thinky has a potential answer in Tinker — give away the weights and charge for the SFT (and maybe RL down the line) to make the model more capable for specific tasks.

3 hours ago

andriy_koval

SFT/RL can be done without parent company.

2 hours ago

chrsw

In the US, there isn't one, which is why nobody in the US is currently doing it at frontier scale. And the people that were doing it stopped.

an hour ago

raincole

To compete against America. If your country has something like DeepSeek you really can't afford to let it fall as it's your best leverage if the US government decides to ban companies in your country from accessing American LLMs. And this is why there will never be a "DeepSeek of the US."

3 hours ago

gtirloni

Considering how volatile things can get depending on who's president, I'd say even American companies need to "compete against America" if they don't want to get their rug pulled from under them (which, apparently, the legal system allows to easily happen in the US).

2 hours ago

tonic_note

isn't that what Reflection is trying to be?

3 hours ago

fastball

What about Meta?

2 hours ago

jauntywundrkind

Also the fact that China is building solar power like crazy: that makes it fantastically more well spirited an endeavor to wish well.

an hour ago

insane_dreamer

It’s what Meta was supposed to do but Llama fell of the wagon.

There’s also Prism

an hour ago

verdverm

Its not as good as GLM 5.2 for agentic workflows while also being bigger. Competition is going to be ruthless because the super low cost to switching.

There is also AllenAi in the US, but they have yet to produce a model at this scale. Thankfully, new contenders can come out of nowhere and do well, as long as they can produce a competitive model.

4 hours ago

InsideOutSanta

> Its not as good as GLM 5.2 for agentic workflows while also being bigger

GLM 5.2 underwent extensive post-training and iteration since its original release to reach its current state. This seems like an extremely strong model for a first release, with a lot of potential for improvement, just like DS4.

Sometimes I wish Meta had stuck with Llama 4 a bit longer to see how much further it could be pushed.

4 hours ago

verdverm

This is a great point

3 hours ago

wxw

> Inkling is not the strongest overall model available today, open or closed. Instead, a combination of qualities makes it a good open-weights base for customization: multimodal capabilities, efficient thinking, and availability on Tinker for fine-tuning.

Open base models that can be fine tuned on Tinker is a great business model IMO. You (i.e. an enterprise) can own your own model & have it perform frontier-or-better at your task at potentially much lower cost and Thinking Machines gets to be your essential infra/service provider in this world.

Also,

> Inkling-Small matches or exceeds its larger sibling on many benchmarks — the result of improvements we made to the pre-training data and recipe for the smaller model.

Very cool! Excited to see the next generations of Thinky models.

2 hours ago

aabhay

What strikes me the most is just how many different tasks are involved in modern model design. It used to be the case that you come up with a new loss function, slight architecture changes, etc., run your train and eval loop, and publish the artifacts.

Now, there’s so much work to do just to keep up. It’s the ultimate red queen race. All of the 500 steps involved, each of which is its own little optimization loop, is sort of awe inspiring.

But obviously this inverts the previous rules that small teams run faster than big teams. AI requires a big team. It’s only once the team pushes past the 1000s that organizational inertia seems to become an issue. Because until then, there’s way too many pieces for even a dozen super stars.

2 hours ago

ianbutler

It's nice to see a strong long context open weights model that is multi-modal.

There are many applications that will benefit from the strength in audio here and until z.ai and co work in visual this could be very strong for general agentic applications, though I see there's a bit of weakness in the benches for areas that might make that less true.

Like all models need to slap it in your harness and do proper evals on the tasks you care about.

4 hours ago

0xbadcafebee

MiniMax M3 and DeepSeek v4-Pro are highly capable long context open weight multi-modal models. But long-context is a trap, because performance still falls dramatically after 150k-200k context.

4 hours ago

ianbutler

> But long-context is a trap, because performance still falls dramatically after 150k-200k context.

I often see this repeated, and it is not true task to task. I work on this daily and we have several tasks where long context is advantageous and our evals against a whole battery of models with different windows show it as being so.

This is why having good evals for the tasks you're working on is so important.

I do grant it's a good rule of thumb.

3 hours ago

InsideOutSanta

> But long-context is a trap, because performance still falls dramatically after 150k-200k context.

I'm not sure exactly what causes the difference, but this heavily depends on the model. In my experience with Opus 4.8, I can go well over 500k and still get extremely good results. A drastically different example was GLM-5.1, which worked great until about 100k and then turned insane almost immediately. They did fix that with 5.2, though.

3 hours ago

minraws

For a first model, and given it's open, I am gaining some faith in American Open research labs again...

I couldn't test it since it's not on openrouter or something, but even if it's only as good as GLM5.1 that's more than good enough first attempt, I think.

Perhaps a lot more labs will catch up to ballpark frontier esque level soon, I am all for more competition in any field.

4 hours ago

cpt100

NVIDIA is building Nemotron

2 hours ago

Topfi

Very preliminary testing so far, but there is something here, far beyond what the benchmarks suggest. Only ever saw such outperformance of public evals vs my private ones with Anthropic models and while it is far to early to make any judgement at this stage, this model will take up a lot of mine time in the coming weeks by the look of things. Only ever viewed Moonshot AIs models as something I'd be able to live with open-weight-wise (Z.AIs output simply does not perform as well in my task set), but this has the potential to be the second. If Mistral came out with something like this, I suspect every Europhile (me included) would never stop talking about it.

2 hours ago

Reubend

Seems like this is particularly good at instruction following, but not as strong at coding as others. It's always great to get more diversity of open weight models though! I'll need to test this out to see what its "personality" is like.

4 hours ago

jakswa

seems pretty dang snappy and I like it's tone/personality so far.

> look at today's hackernews frontpage and generate me a daily briefing report (create an artifact) to read later for today's nerd news

https://chat.home.jake.town/artifacts/019f679d-99e5-7000-b02...

2 hours ago

arrowleaf

This is the best voice/tone I've seen from any model so far. It's using filler words and phrases in places that normal people would put them, rather than sounding like a corporate customer support agent!

20 minutes ago

janalsncm

For the most part it’s better than Nemotron, worse than GLM. This makes it the best American open weights model from what I can tell?

4 hours ago

nickludlam

It's nearly double the size of Nemotron 3 Ultra, so I'd expect it to be considerably better, although the active parameter count seems to be a touch lower at 41B vs 55B

4 hours ago

vcryan

I'm surprised that Nemotron gets mentioned at all. In my experiments with it for coding tasks it performed extremely poorly, essentially unusable.

2 hours ago

dr_dshiv

What are the different business models for open-weight AI companies?

4 hours ago

subygan

For thinking machines, they provide super simple finetuning APIs.

if it is their model, they can have more lower level integrations for that. Thinking machines might be the only large lab in the US to have business interest aligned with open sourcing strong models that are customizable.

3 hours ago

firasd

Just serving the model over API seems like a natural fit and is what many of them are doing. So simply being the cloud provider for your own open weight model can be a source of revenue

4 hours ago

charcircuit

What is the moat? The time it takes for AI to rewrite an efficient inference stack for a new model? Considering most LLMs follow a similar architecture, adapting to a new model shouldn't take that much time.

4 hours ago

InsideOutSanta

There is no moat. At the moment, all of these companies are burning money to gain mindshare and market share. That's what Thinking Machines is doing; they're not looking for a business model.

3 hours ago

dgellow

Nobody in the LLM world has a moat, or even an actual business model

3 hours ago

bellowsgulch

I don't know why people keep saying there's no moat. There's no moat. Having a FUCK ton of money to train these gigantic fucking models and retain the brains to make it happen is a moat.

You're not going to train one using a VPS from LowEndBox.

an hour ago

charcircuit

But if people can download it for free, that is a drawbridge across the moat competitors can use to get the same model.

17 minutes ago

dyauspitr

But so can everyone else. What’s the moat for spending all those billions. I understand the Chinese angle, they need to undermine American models as a matter of statecraft, but what is the business model here? It just seems like VC charity.

4 hours ago

kingleopold

use open models to gain marketing/users/attention and then go closed? maybe

3 hours ago

wyre

There are no moats. LLM's are a commodity. The point in spending all of the billions is to have strong domestic open-weight models.

One of the worst case scenarios regarding LLM's is monopoly control, so these billionaires know they need to invest in competition.

2 hours ago

JimsonYang

Maybe the thesis is that

Open source low cost models will dominate most enterprise tasks as cost curves will dictate usage. TM is trying to replicate that especially as the US and China gets more defensive with their tech

3 hours ago

Topfi

Similar to companies working on FOSS codebases, hosting (sometimes with the license restricting third-parties in some way), providing tailored models and services to customer's and getting bought for your team if your model happens to be competitive enough.

3 hours ago

vanuatu

- inference

- RLaaS (Tinker, or the more involved FDE motion a la Reflection / Applied Compute)

3 hours ago

kancha

Not compared against Gemma 4? That is a big omission.

3 hours ago

kcb

Gemma 4 wouldn't really be a competitor to this. Gemma has the dense 31b model, but this has like 25x the total number of params.

an hour ago

alansaber

I never thought i'd see the day they released a model, rather than a blog post. The Figure 3 demo being a screencap of chrome in localhost made me feel better about myself. Jokes aside, best western open weights model- very cool.

4 hours ago

pr337h4m

They are one of the few labs (perhaps even the only one at this level) that are doing something both unique and useful, rather than simply imitating what the others are doing: https://thinkingmachines.ai/blog/interaction-models/

4 hours ago

christinetyip

Excited to try out its capability, especially audio and video.

It's nice that it has a long context window, but in practice, I find I always have to clear context btw 150k-400k context even if the context window is 1M on paper.

an hour ago

GodelNumbering

Interestingly, when opening this page, the first thought I had was not that the benchmarks should be high, but 'I really hope they did not benchmaxx'. I think a model with modest benchmark scores can have much better real world utility as opposed to the current frontiers that are RL'd into being robotic and rigid.

3 hours ago

firasd

Looks like it can be tried at https://tinker.thinkingmachines.ai/playground

4 hours ago

hahahaa

How much mortgage equity would I need to do that 27min fine tune demo on local :)

Self fine tuning like that though seems like a whole new set of possibilities unlocked.

2 hours ago

veber-alex

Your first mission should be providing a working dark mode site.

Holy flashbang.

an hour ago

bbstats

too bad we'll never know how good it is, since they used a radar plot to show its benchmark scores!

4 hours ago

InsideOutSanta

How does the radar plot prevent you from looking at just one of its axes?

3 hours ago

nickandbro

Lol slither.io is the new benchmark now? I guess my game slitherworld.com is now something that can be vibecoded too

2 hours ago

potwinkle

Very impressive model, exciting to see an American open-source lab with such competitive results.

2 hours ago

pants2

The Artifical Analysis has a link on their homepage but it 404's :/

https://artificialanalysis.ai/models/inkling

4 hours ago

amarble

They also indicate they have a 276B A12B version, but it doesn't seem the weights are available. This might actually be able to fit in 128GB when quantized to 2 bits or so which makes it interesting.

4 hours ago

Flux159

They mention in the announcement link https://thinkingmachines.ai/news/introducing-inkling/ that they are still testing Inkling-Small and it will also still be multimodal. This makes it super interesting as a Deepseek V4 Flash replacement (and would be interesting with DwarfStar / ds4 if it gets supported).

4 hours ago

mhluongo

Interested in the implied strategy - that training a bespoke model for what you need will make economic sense over using a mass-trained model. I wonder if that's true?

3 hours ago

ggcr

My personal bet is that this model should really shine in Autoresearch NanoGPT-style speedruns because its first-class integration with Tinker

3 hours ago

logicprog

This seems like a really really great debut model for a new lab. I'm happy

2 hours ago

slim

  The MoE design largely follows DeepSeek-V3
why is the model never compared to deepseek in their blog post ?
34 minutes ago

figomore

Splatoon LLM

41 minutes ago

androiddrew

Give me a good 180B param model that fits snuggly on an single DGX spark and I will sing your praises.

3 hours ago

luciana1u

the gap between 'open weights' and 'open source' is now wide enough to fit an entire corporate legal department

2 hours ago

dominotw

everyone and their grandma shipping top tier models now. anthropic and openai trying to capture the app layer with their shitty 'super app'

22 minutes ago

solomatov

It looks like HuggingFace shows Apache-2.0 but they have AUP. How does it work together?

4 hours ago

bobkb

Happy to see an open weight model ! This has all the right ingredients for success.

4 hours ago

inkvi

Do they have an api to try the model in real envs?

4 hours ago

insane_dreamer

I think we’re going to start seeing more OSS models that perform especially well on certain tasks instead of trying to be generalists like the frontier models. That’s a winning formula because if you’re building an app on a model it often has a specific set of use cases

an hour ago

luciana1u

the open-weight model release cadence is approaching npm package velocity. soon we'll have left-pad-7b and someone will unpublish it and break half of production

2 hours ago

trilogic

You certainly cooking smth, Good Luck Mira.

3 hours ago

2001zhaozhao

I really respect the epistemtics work here. It might become an accurate, inexpensive open-weight workhorse for high-level prioritization and decision-making work. (Finance bros will also love this)

an hour ago

jijji

competition in this space is great, especially with open models/weights. I think the answer is not closed source models. Similar to the Unix versus Linux situation in the 1990's, open source wins out. Yesterdays story about how OpenAI has now began encrypting traffic between model and agent [0], this story brings a breath of fresh air. There is nothing "Open" about hiding the communication between model and agent, especially with software that is running within a trusted environment/network. It needs to be more transparent, not less.

[0] https://www.theregister.com/ai-and-ml/2026/07/15/openai-hide...

2 hours ago

verdverm

If it's ~30% bigger and not as good as GLM 5.2, why would I tinker with this model?

Maybe for the multi modal?

4 hours ago

Aurornis

> If it's ~30% bigger and not as good as GLM 5.2, why would I tinker with this model?

The benchmarks never tell the full story. Some of the open weights models have been benchmaxxed for a while. Their utility on real work can be different than the benchmark number.

The multimodal input is also a big deal. Having vision input is really helpful for a lot of tasks.

4 hours ago

speedping

I second that. Gemini 3.5 Flash rocks the benchmark charts but is terrible as an agent. Horrible instruction adherence and makes WAY too many tool calls

4 hours ago

luckydata

which cheap models have you found work best as agents?

4 hours ago

verdverm

Most of the bigger open weight models are pretty good. You can get them per-token from companies like Fireworks or OpenCode

2 hours ago

buremba

Then why are they publishing the benchmarks which makes them look worse than GLM 5.2?

4 hours ago

godelski

Because it's still informative

3 hours ago

buremba

I'm not sure why I'm being downvoted but I didn't mean it in a negative way.

For such announcement, I would expect them to give me clues on when I should use this model and in which cases it's the best one.

The benchmarks that they share doesn't indicate that it's cheaper to run than other models, or can fit in my local machine, or excels in a specific vertical.

After reading the comments here and X, I can see it being the top-3 multi-modal open-source model though.

3 hours ago

verdverm

being close is still impressive, especially for their first (released) model

gives me hope that the training moat is even smaller than we thought

4 hours ago

gkapur

If they have a really seamless fine-tuning experience and maybe can help you extract the data you need to FT (which is one of the big challenges in actually getting fine-tuning democratized), maybe you would use it because "Tinker" defaults to it.

The model could also be more flexible for non-coding use-cases (they show the results for reasoning being strong) so maybe the argument is to use it for non-coding use-cases to drive relatively deterministic conclusions for non-coding agents (they have also done some determinism work on kernels, which could be useful in pulling on that thread of deterministic models that are fine-tuned for everything that is not writing code.)

That said, I'm not sure how much all the work they have done actually synergizes or if the market size (at least in the short to medium term) is big enough for a huge outcome from the company's current valuation with those bets as the enterprise agent estate is taking a while to evolve. Hence companies like Anthropic and OpenAI are throwing tons of consulting money at the problem.

4 hours ago

Flux159

There's also an Inkling-Small that is 276B, 12B active that is much smaller than GLM 5.2 and still multimodal. Not released yet, but in the announcement link they mention that they're testing Inkling-Small & will release as open weight after testing. That one may be interesting as a Deepseek V4 Flash replacement.

4 hours ago

pizlonator

> Maybe for the multi modal?

Yeah

4 hours ago

RohoSwagger

why is this website ai slop

3 hours ago

hs86

Is it really that bad? I always get the impression that their blog posts look especially beautiful with their font choices and overall design. They are typographically pleasing, and if I could, I would use this as the distraction-free reading mode for every web page.

It feels like I’m reading a newspaper, but oddly, without them resorting to any skeuomorphic tricks.

an hour ago

eisbaw

do you want them to focus on the website or their model? do you buy a device because of its unboxing experience?

2 hours ago

raverbashing

Cool, now we just need the GPU that supports it

4 hours ago

MaxPock

Raised 2 billion dollars at a 12 billion valuation and debuts at 41 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, while KIMI and DeepSeek will release Fable-class models this week. What a joke.

4 hours ago

gordonhart

Moonshot (Kimi) has raised $3.77B and been around for >3 years, Thinking Machines raising $2B and releasing a decent open weights model in 16 months is actually quite comparable.

3 hours ago

hahahaa

Anyone would think these investors are making a bet they can improve using that cash.

2 hours ago

KronisLV

> ...while KIMI and DeepSeek will release Fable-class models this week.

What new model is DeepSeek releasing? Their current V4 Pro at Max reasoning is consistently worse than GLM 5.2 at Max reasoning, though the latter is close to Opus 4.8 at Extra/Max reasoning, albeit a little bit worse in my experience (though if they gave comparable amounts of tokens to Anthropic 5x Max subscription I could see myself moving over, currently they give you less though even with their ZCode discount).

In practical agentic development, none of those seem to be that close to Fable to me. Spent 181 million tokens with GLM 5.2 with ZCode in the past month, 142 million with DeepSeek V4 Pro with ZCode and OpenCode and about 3.45 billion across all Anthropic models with Claude Code, though understandably with my workload between 95-99% of them are cached (very docs/plan/tooling/read heavy work to limit slop, albeit with sub-agents and workflows).

4 hours ago

segmondy

DeepSeekV4 was a preview model, read the papers. It's not the final model. They released it to demonstrate architectural capabilities. They are still training and the model release is planned within the next month.

3 hours ago

KronisLV

If they somehow make it approach Fable in capability, I’ll be quite surprised!

3 hours ago

segmondy

I haven't used Fable, but if the hype is to be believed then it's a jump in model capability. If so then I don't expect the next DeepSeekV4 version to match it. However, if the next DSV4 version get's the kind of jump 3.1 got over 3.0 or 4 got over 3.2, I'll be very happy with it. Progress is progress. We "can" run DSV4 locally, Fable is closed.

22 minutes ago

copperx

Not even GPT 5.6 approaches it, why would DeepSeek with less investment?

37 minutes ago